FanBoardHQ

Boston College

Boston College · 2024 · ACC

FanBoardHQ CFP
#50
Efficiency
+6.8
45th FBS
Record
7-6
Conf. record
4-4
Conf. finish
T-8th
of 17
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Boston College went 7-6 and was ranked 50th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 46th-ranked defense carried them, with a 54th-ranked offense. They ran the ball on 55% of offensive plays with a 79th-ranked rushing attack and passed the ball on the remaining 45% of plays with a 34th-ranked passing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-3
Q2
0-2
Q3
2-1
Q4
5-0

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
Expected: 7.0 wins
Strength of Record
56th
-2.0 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
58th
full season
58th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
40th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~5.2 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1@ Florida StateACC#117W 2813+11.3100%10.2Q4
2vs DuquesneNECW 560+32.4100%23.7Q4
3@ MissouriSEC#17L 2127-7.20%8.2Q2
4vs Michigan StateBig Ten#73W 2319+12.4100%-1.0Q4
5vs Western KentuckyConference USA#80W 2120+16.3100%-7.4Q4
6@ VirginiaACC#76L 1424+5.80%-9.6Q3
8@ Virginia TechACC#52L 2142-7.80%-6.8Q1
9vs LouisvilleACC#21L 2731-6.70%9.5Q1
11vs SyracuseACC#29W 3731+4.2100%9.3Q3
12@ SMUACC#14L 2838-12.70%9.8Q1
13vs North CarolinaACC#84W 4121+9.7100%26.1Q4
14vs PittsburghACC#55W 3423+6.3100%11.4Q3
Postseason
vs NebraskaBig Ten#43L 1520-2.80%1.5Q2

13 played · 7-6. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Boston College, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-6.8+8.2+23.210248-1-7-10-799102611Week 0Week 20
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 34th
SR 55thYPP 39thEPA 15th
RushingEff 79th
SR 66thYPP 83rdEPA 87th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 66th
SR 85thYPP 56thEPA 63rd
Rush defenseEff 26th
SR 33rdYPP 36thEPA 22nd
Dropback rate 45%Tempo +5.4 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 49th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 42%1st · Defense allowed: 45%1st2nd · Offense: 39%2nd · Defense allowed: 38%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 45%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 41%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 52.0Q1 · Allowed: 37.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 126.0Q2 · Allowed: 114.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 90.0Q3 · Allowed: 61.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 77.0Q4 · Allowed: 82.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledBoston CollegeOffenseDefense
Boston College Offense vs Defense, 2024
Offensive EffRanked 54th
+1.8
Field position: +1.5Finishing drives: +0.3
Field position +1.5Finishing drives +0.3= +1.8
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 20th · Finishing 62nd

Defensive EffRanked 46th
+3.5
Field position: +0.3Finishing drives: +3.2
Field position +0.3Finishing drives +3.2= +3.5
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 51st · Finishing 47th

2.27 points per drive on offense, 2.01 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 32.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(206)42% / 58%37%5.8
Q2(222)47% / 53%44%6.1
Q3(199)38% / 62%46%6.5
Q4(218)43% / 57%40%4.5
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(84)10.345%7.7
2nd(127)8.939%7.2
3rd(122)7.739%6.5
4th(26)4.850%6.3
All (359)41%7.0
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(271)9.841%5.0
2nd(149)6.539%4.3
3rd(56)5.057%5.4
4th(10)2.440%1.7
All (486)42%4.8

Boston College, all games.